CategoryAngela Merkel

Italy Referendum

Have foreseen it of course, more than 30 years ago. All is going to a landslide fascism movement in Europe, social division, and civil war. You bet, I knew it coming since so long.

In France, the Far Right will be in power, in Italy now as well, in Austria and Hungary already, soon in Holland, but Merkel in Germany will resist and remain a balancing force. I would say the destiny of Europe is on Merkel’s shoulders which is no easy task and will immortalize her. She will really be the sentinel of European Values for the next years to come—I mean, until every little stupid frog will be a Fascist in the name of God and The Nation!

The right-wing forces get all their support now from the Election of Donald Trump while I would not even think that the real estate magnate has intended this landslide for Fascism. His character is not at all compatible with the character of Adolf Hitler. We have here two very different personality profiles.

Psychological Warfare

For political observers, it is obvious that what is underlying, not what is apparent, is what moves states into certain actions, and avoid certain other actions. In other words, when you see the world only under the political lupe, you see it wrongly.

States, as human beings, are motivated by hidden agendas, by underlying motives, and by psychological reasons.

The obvious is in stark conflict with the rational mind when we see Putin and Erdogan heading into an unprecedented, while still premature, brotherhood. And while the political spectrum seems to be in conflict with this ‘defense solution,’ this is only so on the surface of things.

Turkey belongs to Nato and thus would have to be considered as an ‘enemy’ by Russia. The incident of downing a Russian warplane by the Turkish air force in 2015 gave another apparent reason that this had to be so. But it was not so. This ‘conflict’ was simply the confrontation of two thick-headed statesmen but it had no implications for the long term relationship between the two countries.

So what? Why are the two military giants approaching each other again in a most friendly manner and coordinate their military strategies?

The reasons are not political, or only randomly political, for they are mainly psychological. Both countries have hidden ethnic cleasing agendas the West rightly opposes to, both countries have modern militaries and are basically aggressive-minded in their international policies, both countries favor a strong-man leadership backed by ruthless police surveillance and a more or less total crackdown on free media. Thus both nations foster dictatorial regimes that are set to eat up more and more segments of their populations by large-scale state propaganda.

Thus, both nations are basically anti-democratic in their base setup and this will get worse over time, as a matter of internal dynamics in every dictatorial and freedom-hostile regime. But this is precisely what unites them in a front now, which could be called a ‘red front’ — and attentive readers may well remember the clear predictions by Nostradamus who said the great and final Armageddon—also called WW3— would start with an alliance between Turkey and Russia, based upon orthodox religions and against Roman Catholicism as practiced by the freedom-loving West.

It would be naive to believe that this amalgam of power, ruthless state doctrine, anti-democracy and fascism would not attract extremist forces and mercenaries on their side. That means that these regimes will be increasingly sympathetic to extremist forces in the Middle East, in Russia, and in Turkey, and wherever else in the world. This is simply so, as a matter of natural law, as like attracts like.

In other words and to summarize, we are presently in a phase of psychological warfare where the pacts or blocks are forming and evolving that later will represent the opponents in real war. Besides, military and political history clearly shows that during phases of fascist supremacy and the oppression of free press, together with endless ‘crackdowns’ on opponents (or imagined opponents), nations split up and become politically polarized, which means that strong and sometimes deadly opposition forces are set into place and fueled by hatred and contradiction, and ultimately, by feelings of humiliation!

The result of that process is civil war, and this is the reason why wars all through human history seldom are clean ring fights, for civil wars are often cross-border and make for chaotic—and often temporary—alliances that further disrupt the already freakish trust-building between superpowers.

China, which is a country that still today has not implemented the rule of law and that persecutes freedom-affirming local and foreign journalists, is likely to be on the line of this psychological setup that can be summarized as the putting on stage of new state oligarchies that coordinate their efforts on a less than official level in order to gain worldpower, even if this power then has to be shared among three parties.

But where is the United States in this picture, where is Europe, where is Japan? These are the burning questions that I leave to your own psychological and political IQ to answer. When you know you have asked the right questions, you know you will get the right answers.

Let me only mention one tiny detail in a very complex picture. Now Europe is not only dependent on Russian gas, it is also dependent on Turkish gas. See that on a timeline into the future, and where this dependency possibly can lead to.

Or take the recent selling out of Europe by Angela Merkel’s 6 billion dollar deal with Turkey that was equally, again psychologically speaking, a humiliation for freedom-loving Europe as Amnesty International and many international lawyers have condemned this pact as anti-human rights. That it won’t work out anyway, nobody really cares, the refugees are in the same mess as before, the deal will go overboard, and with it, many newly arriving refugees, as the numbers are rising against all predictions to the contrary. And Angela Merkel has less chances to be re-elected, thereby creating a political gap that will be filled with a center-right coalition, probably headed by Frauke Petry, the head of the new right-wing populist party ‘Alternative for Germany.’

There is real danger that this ‘alternative’ will be the last one for Germany for in state controlled regimes there are notoriously no alternatives and in populist psychology there is always only ‘one solution.’ And because life is infinitely complex, this kind of political psychology must lead to anti-life ideologies and lots of violence and chaos.

Refugee Crisis Worse than Ever

This is a prototypical example how we are served fake solutions by our so-called politicians who have become administrators of problems, instead of being problem-solvers. The refugee crisis is worse than ever, only half a page to read to know all the truth which in this case is in the numbers:

http://bit.ly/2b7BZok

A Strong Alliance

This is the beginning of WW3 as I predicted it already last year. And it’s in total alignment with the predictions of Nostradamus.

The Turkey-Russia alliance will be iron-strong and when China backs it up, America is toasted!

http://bit.ly/2b9w1V4

http://trib.in/2b98RPx

In this article from The Japan News, it is said very clearly:

The easing of tensions between the two nations can be a positive move conducive to preventing the regional situation from becoming complicated. What is worrying is that the rapid formation of a closer relationship between the two countries noticeably points to their ulterior motive of restraining the United States and European nations.

Behold, this is not popular knowledge, as most people still believe that Turkey is backed by the US. Superseded! The US top level has given clear signals that it no longer backs ‘islamistic’ Turkey, a country that runs at high speed against democracy, by practicing torture large-scale and now at the brink of re-instituting the death penalty.

The claims of Turkey they were not intending to build a new ‘axis’ through their alliance with Russia are just eye-wiping. It is typical for states to deny what they most intend to do, especially in the beginning stages of a new pact.

That also has drastic consequences in Europe, in the sense that Turkey has disqualified itself to become EU member. The door is closed now because EU law is punitive toward these two factors—torture and death penalty—because they are anti-human rights.

I said earlier in this blog that Angela Merkel has sold out Europe by making the contract with Turkey regarding refugee reflow. I predicted that it won’t work out, and it doesn’t—apart from that, it’s against human rights regulations according to Amnesty International.

Relationships between Turkey and Germany have deteriorated ever since and are right now at a breaking point. Turkey’s top team has repeatedly slammed Germany and Angela Merkel over the last weeks. Fact is that the EU will not grant Turkey the Schengen access (free visa travel), and the numbers of Turkish refugees to Germany have doubled just recently. Germany will thus remain the one single nation on earth that gives a refuge to the Kurds, and this role will be increasingly important.

Erdogan will be backed by Putin in his ethnic cleansing strategies—which is the same what Putin does with the Tchechen—and his cementing his family clan into a strong leadership that will be dictatorial in every respect.

Turkey has a very strong and well-trained military—so has Russia! Even if China doesn’t back or join, the alliance between Turkey and Russia as a ‘defense strategy’ is a red flag that cannot be ignored!

Populism in Germany

One doesn’t need to be of Einsteinian intelligence to connect the dots here. All those who still believe I was a negative thinker will think twice. The Alternative for Germany (AFD) has now gained 20% while only 5% are needed to enter the Bundestag as a political party. While these state elections are only signposts for the eventual federal elections, the three states that were involved are representative.

http://www.thelocal.de/20160313/merkel-gets-the-blame-as-germany-faces-up-to-rise-of-populists

This means that Merkel can’t continue her politics because the SPD is going to be so weak and unimportant that the only constructive solution would be a right-wing coalition CDU-AFD.

Then, connect the dots with Jihadists in Germany according to this well-researched article from the Gateson Institute:

http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/7609/germany-islamic-state

This is an explosive mix, a recipe for civil war, for as I have predicted it since more than 20 years, it’s right-wing fascism, also called populism as an euphemism that will get us into WW3, and no other problem. The refugee crisis is only the catalyzer and therefore I believe that Merkel cannot be blamed for this landslide into fascism. First of all it’s not a Germany-only phenomenon. See only the scary rise of antisemitism in France and the right-wing dictatorial touch all over the Balkan states including Turkey.

Then consider the fact that in the United States, too, the general tone during the election campaign becomes more and more populist and one-sided, narrow-minded and provincial, and last not least see how weapon sales are rising virtually every month, fostered by growing fears of multiple threats and declining trust between nations linked by diplomatic ties.

Everyone who in this situation sees happy times ahead or business as usual must be struck with blindness or is an eternal Peter Pan. And to end this post with a positive note, Merkel’s sense of realities can still be very useful in Germany, especially now, for she might be able to use her power to dampen the right-wing zeal of the AFD once a coalition with the CDU is reached. I wish her all the best for this goal, while I still believe that she sold Europe out to Turkey in an unprecedented way and this will have negative repercussions for her career.

An Alternative Solution

I would have spent the money on Greece and make sure people don’t drown by using the Nato deployment but I would have let them come to Greece and spent the money there. After all, it’s spent then on a democratic country and a EU member, not an outsider. This deal was clearly favorable for Turkey with the prospect of passport-free travel from June 2016 and new discussions about EU membership. But they cannot be made a member according to EU law as long as they practice torture.

And when you see that they first wanted only 3 bn euros and when they raised the price tag to 6 bn, Merkel immediately agreed. Only politicians can do such a thing, a business man like Trump would never agree with such a bargain: and for good reasons. In my view Europe has lost face with this deal and this is first of all the doing of Merkel.

I have lost my own faith in her through this while I was truly admiring her before. But that was too much. Turkey is a country that can’t be trusted, only scan through their history, including the Armenian genocide. Turkey is and was a violent country. Just three days before the discussions, on the 4th of March, the Turkish government  confiscated ZAMAN newspaper and graveyarded democracy and free speech. That was a fist in the face of the EU!

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/03/turkey-what-next-after-seizure-of-newspaper.html#

I project that this deal brings nothing at all. EU will pay for nothing, Turkey will extent their autocracy without scruples and resentment will probably bring the whole deal to fall, as nobody wants 77 million Turcs to travel and settle everywhere in the EU.

And the EU has to pay the same amount once again to Greece for the situation will not improve. Turkey will not do everything to get the human traders down. They have shown they cannot be bent when the USA asked for border closure with Syria. Turkey simply said that it can’t be done.

This solution would also have been in accordance with international law for the ‘refoulement’ of people to a country that is not guaranteed to respect human rights violates international law and the refugee convention.

Merkel Sold Out Europe

I won’t quote articles here. You can find them, the Internet is full of it. I want to express my personal opinion for you see that in this blog I was pretty much taking Merkel’s position.

I am a liberal German and Merkel’s overall politics reminded me of the one of Helmut Schmidt who was my childhood hero—it was not Helmuth Kohl, Merkel’s mentor.

I love Merkel’s sense for realities, the fact she is a scientist, made her PhD in quantum chemistry and has a great heart when it goes to human hardships.

But the deal with Turkey is flawed in many respects, and I say this also in my quality of an international lawyer.

  1. Turkey has consistently violated human rights and does this even more now;
  2. Turkey doesn’t qualify for EU membership because of practicing torture;
  3. Turkey hasn’t deserved those 6 bn Euros, but Greece—and what does Greece get?
  4. How can the EU shift their responsibility to a shaky dictatorship like Turkey?
  5. If you don’t see what I am saying, please wait 3 to 6 months.

Angela Merkel has signed her own political downfall with that. Gloeckner and Petry are in the starting holes of their respective right-wing political parties.

Most of you know my analysis about how WW3 will come about but you know also that the process is much slower than predicted. It will come in the aftermath of Europe going fascist. Hollande with 16% survival chance will make place for Le Pen, and Merkel to one of these right-wing parties. In the United States the shift Obama-Clinton or Obama-Trump will make for a totally different political climate that will support the right-wing rush of Europe.

Putin will profit of all that in his own unique way, getting his deals, and with that, we can say bye-bye to human rights, free speech, democracy, and liberalism.

I have believed in Merkel but she betrayed us all with betting on the wrong horse, at a time when she had no more other options. It’s like all your options are gone because you did not catch them, and then there is one last chance, and you give all your hope to it. This is how Merkel approached Turkey, as if all depended now on Turkey to get Europe right again. What a political mistake, what a childish approach to realities! Turkey will show Europe what they can do, and it will be nothing positive, for sure, and will cost Angela her career.

In addition to these arguments, and independently of the EU’s motivation for this process of ‘refoulement,’ international law, and especially the status of refugees, prohibits such actions.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-l-phillips/refoulement-violates-inte_b_9423778.html

Negotiations EU-Turkey

The key elements of that draft statement, seen by Reuters are:

  • Turkey to readmit all “irregular”migrants crossing into Greek islands from Turkey;
  • For every Syrian readmitted by Turkey from the Greek islands, one Syrian refugee will be resettled from Turkey to the EU member states;
  • The EU will completely evacuate refugees from the Greek islands, readmitting only those who crossed into the islands after a date to be determined;
  • The EU will accelerate the lifting of visa requirements for Turkish citizens in the Schengen zone, so that this takes place, at the latest, by the end of June 2016;
  • The EU and Turkey will cooperate in any joint endeavours to establish humanitarian safe areas inside Syria;
  • The EU will provide Turkey with an extra 3bn Euros (on top of the 3bn Euros already made available) to help Turkey deal with Syrian refugees through to the end of 2018.

According to Reuters, the statement also makes reference to steps in the process of negotiating Turkish accession to the European Union.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2016/mar/07/migration-crisis-summit-eu-and-turkish-leaders-meet-in-brussels-live

The Making of Angela Merkel

The Making of Angela Merkel, with Andrew Marr, an excellent BBC documentary:

And on the funny side,  the Angel Merkel Show.

Absolutely well-done, how they mix up English with German words. Really fun. I am sure she will like that.